i'm a Chelsea fan but i won't be betting on us tonight for the following reasons
1. our record at St James isn't that good especially cup games
2. i don't think Jose will be that bothered if we lose, what with fixture congestion etc. That kind of indifference often spreads to the players...
3. there is still a fitness doubt over J Terry, in any case i think Jose is goin to start with a lot of fringe players
4. Newcastle players and their fans will really be up for this game. It's arguably their biggest game of the season
5. Chelsea are odds-on to win this match at 4/6, a shockingly bad price in view of all the above. In my book Chelsea should be odds-against to win, something like 5/4 or even 11/8
Newcastle at 4/1 is the value bet but i just can't bring myself to bet against the team i support