Italy to be big mover in new rankings system
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Associated Press
Posted: 7 hours ago
BERLIN (AP) - Italy should be the big mover when FIFA releases its revised ranking system after the World Cup final.
FIFA WORLD RANKING
Top 20 May 2006
Rank Country Points +/-
1 Brazil 827 --
2 Czech Rep. 772 --
3 Netherlands 768 --
4 Mexico 758 +2
5 USA 756 -1
5 Spain 756 --
7 Portugal 750 +1
8 France 749 -1
9 Argentina 746 -1
10 England 741 --
11 Nigeria 736 +1
11 Denmark 736 --
13 Italy 728 +1
14 Turkey 726 -1
15 Cameroon 722 --
16 Sweden 709 --
17 Egypt 708 +1
18 Japan 705 -1
19 Germany 696 --
20 Greece 694 -1
Ranking criteria
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Brazil, already well clear using the old format, is expected to remain atop the FIFA rankings when the new formula is released next Wednesday.
Italy plays France in Sunday's World Cup final.
Marius Schneider, FIFA's head of information services, told The Associated Press on Thursday that Italy could move into the top three depending on the final outcome. He expected Brazil to remain No. 1 regardless.
If the new method for calculating rankings was applied before the World Cup, Brazil would have led Czech Republic, Argentina, England and Spain, with France sixth and Italy 10th.
"Italy and Germany will move well," he said. "The teams that lose the most will be the ones like Cameroon and Nigeria, that would have been in the Top 10 under the new system but didn't qualify for the World Cup.
"The United States, which had good results at the 2002 World Cup, will lose those points and drop back."
Under the new system, results will be counted over a four-year period, with weight given to the strength of opponents and the caliber of the tournament.
The existing system, introduced in August 1993, calculates results across eight years and factors in the number of goals scored and conceded. It has long been criticized for being too complicated.
From now, every result will count, with three points given for a win, one point for a draw and nothing for a loss. Various factors like tournament level and standard of regional competitions also are accounted for.
Points from all matches will lose half their value after 12 months, meaning if Italy gained the maximum points for winning the World Cup, it would lose 50 percent of those by July 2007.
The system is designed to give maximum weight to the most recent matches.
"It's a change, we can certainly expect there to be some surprises, but don't expect a massive revolution," Schneider said. "The teams that will benefit most are the ones that win important matches against higher-ranked teams."
FIFA president Sepp Blatter said the new system was more simple.
"We have acknowledged the need for a substantial revision. I am convinced our experts have come up with a satisfactory solution for a new way of calculating rankings," Blatter said in a statement. "It is difficult to meet everybody's expectations, but we are confident that the new system will provide an accurate measure of the strength of each member association."