For the sceptical among us, I have put the results of both teams (Canada and TNT) multiplied by the Intercontinental weightings, the tournament rating and (as accurately as possible) the weighting for the strength of the opposition I used the actual strength as i can't be bothered to go back and check every ranking at every date)
Canada1-Mar-2006 VIENNA (Austria) Austria vs. Canada 0:2 (0:0) 3 X 1 X 0.925 X 1.4 (1.3)
22-Jan-2006 SAN DIEGO (USA) USA vs. Canada 0:0 1 X 1 X 0.85 X 1.84 (1.93)
16-Nov-2005 (Luxembourg) Luxembourg vs. Canada 0:1 (0:0) 3 X 1 X 0.925 X 0.5
3-Sep-2005 SANTANDER (Spain) Spain vs. Canada 2:1 (1:0)
12-Jul-2005 FOXBORO/BOSTON (USA) Canada vs. Cuba 2:1 (0:0)[/b] 3 X 3 X 0.85 X 1.04 (1.30)
These matches are multiplied by 1388.5 + 156.4 + 138.75 + 795.6 = 1479.25/5 =
295.8(360.75 + 164.05 +138.75 + 994.5 = 1658.05/5 =
331.61)
TNT20-Jun-2006 KAISERSLAUTERN (Germany) Paraguay vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:0 (1:0)
15-Jun-2006 NUREMBERG (Germany) England vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:0 (0:0)
10-Jun-2006 DORTMUND (Germany) TNT vs. Sweden 0:0 1 X 4 X 0.925 X 1.78
3-Jun-2006 PRAGUE (Czech Republic) Czech Republic vs. Trinidad and Tobago 3:0 (3:0)
31-May-2006 CELJE (Slovenia) Slovenia vs. Trinidad and Tobago 3:1 (2:1)
27-May-2006 GRAZ (Austria) Wales vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:1 (1:1)
10-May-2006 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Peru 1:1 (0:1) 1 X 1 X 0.915 X 1.58
28-Feb-2006 LONDON (England) Iceland vs. TNT 0:2 (0:1) 3 X 1 X 0.925 X 0.93
16-Nov-2005 MANAMA (Bahrain) Bahrain vs. TNT 0:1 (0:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.06
12-Nov-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Bahrain 1:1 (0:0) 1 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.06
12-Oct-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Mexico 2:1 (1:1) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.82
8-Oct-2005 (Panama) Panama vs. TNT 0:1 (0:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.41
7-Sep-2005 SAN JOSE (Costa Rica) Costa Rica vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:0 (1:0)
3-Sep-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Guat 3:2 (0:1) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.47
17-Aug-2005 HARTFORD (USA) USA vs. Trinidad and Tobago 1:0 (1:0)
12-Jul-2005 MIAMI (USA) Colombia vs. TNT 2:0 (0:0)
These matches are multiplied by 1 658.6 + 144.57 + 258.075 + 675.75 + 225.25 + 1160.25 + 898.875 + 937.125 = 4985.495/16 =
308.03-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Canada9-Jul-2005 SEATTLE (USA) USA vs. Canada 2:0 (0:0)
7-Jul-2005 SEATTLE (USA) Canada vs. Costa Rica 0:1 (0:1)
2-Jul-2005 VANCOUVER (Canada) Canada vs. Honduras 1:2 (0:0)
26-Mar-2005 BARCELOS (Portugal) Portugal vs. Canada 4:1 (2:0)
9-Feb-2005 BELFAST (NI) Northern Ireland vs. Canada 0:1 (0:1) 3 X 1 X 0.925 X 1.25 (0.91)
17-Nov-2004 GUATEMALA-CITY Guat vs. Canada 0:1 (0:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.47 (1.48)
13-Oct-2004 VANCOUVER (Canada) Canada vs. Costa Rica 1:3 (1:0)
9-Oct-2004 (Honduras) Honduras vs. Canada 1:1 (0:0) 1 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.62 (1.41)
8-Sep-2004 SAN JOSE (Costa Rica) Costa Rica vs. Canada 1:0 (0:0)
4-Sep-2004 (Canada) Canada vs. Honduras 1:1 (0:0) 1 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.62 (1.41)
18-Aug-2004 VANCOUVER (Canada) Canada vs. Guatemala 0:2 (0:1)
These points are multiplied by 0.5 346.875 + 937.125 + 344.25 + 344.25 = 1972.5/11 =179.31*0.5 =
89.65(252.525 + 943.5+ 299.625 + 299.625 = 1795.275/11 = 163.207*0.5 =
81.60)
TNT10-Jul-2005 MIAMI (USA) Panama vs. TNT 2:2 (1:1) 1 X 3 X 0.85 X 1.41
6-Jul-2005 MIAMI (USA) TNT vs. Honduras 1:1 (1:1) 1 X 3 X 0.85 X 1.62
8-Jun-2005 MONTERREY (Mexico) Mexico vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:0 (0:0)
4-Jun-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Panama 2:0 (1:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.41
27-May-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Bermuda 1:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
25-May-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Bermuda 4:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
30-Mar-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Costa Rica 0:0 1 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 1.55
26-Mar-2005 GUATEMALA-CITY (Guatemala) Guatemala vs. Trinidad and Tobago 5:1 (3:1)
24-Feb-2005 BRIDGETOWN (Barbados) Barbados vs. TNT 2:3 (1:2) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
22-Feb-2005 BRIDGETOWN (Barbados) Trinidad and Tobago vs. Cuba 1:2 (1:1)
20-Feb-2005 BRIDGETOWN (Barbados) Jamaica vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:1 (2:1)
9-Feb-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (Trinidad and Tobago) Trinidad and Tobago vs. USA 1:2 (0:1)
6-Feb-2005 SCARBOROUGH (Trinidad and Tobago) Trinidad and Tobago vs. Haiti 0:1 (0:1)
3-Feb-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Haiti 2:1 (2:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.77
1-Feb-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. Haiti 1:0 (0:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.77
23-Jan-2005 MARABELLA (TNT) TNT vs. Azerbaijan 2:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.925 X 0.91
21-Jan-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. AZER 1:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.925 X 0.91
16-Jan-2005 KINGSTOWN (SVG) SVG vs. TNT 1:0 (0:0)
12-Jan-2005 ST. JOHN'S (A+B) A+B vs. TNT 2:1 (0:0)
9-Jan-2005 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. SVG 3:1 (0:1) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.71
19-Dec-2004 TUNAPUNA (TNT) TNT vs. BVI 2:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
12-Dec-2004 TORTOLA (BVI) BVI vs. TNT 0:4 (0:1) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
28-Nov-2004 TUNAPUNA (TNT) TNT vs. Surinam 1:0 (0:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
26-Nov-2004 TUNAPUNA (TNT) TNT vs. Grenada 2:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
24-Nov-2004 TUNAPUNA (TNT) TNT vs. Puerto Rico 5:0 (2:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
17-Nov-2004 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) TNT vs. SVG 2:1 (0:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.71
13-Oct-2004 PUEBLA (Mexico) Mexico vs. Trinidad and Tobago 3:0 (1:0)
10-Oct-2004 MARABELLA (TNT) TNT vs. SKN 5:1 (2:1) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.64
8-Sep-2004 PORT OF SPAIN (TNT) Trinidad and Tobago vs. Mexico 1:3 (1:2)
4-Sep-2004 BASSETERRE (SKN) SKN vs. TNT 1:2 (1:1) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.64
18-Aug-2004 KINGSTOWN (SVG) SVG vs. TNT 0:2 (0:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.71
11-Aug-2004 GUATEMALA CITY (Guatemala) Guatemala vs. Trinidad and Tobago 4:1 (0:0)
14-Jul-2004 SEOUL (Korea) Korea vs. TNT 1:1 (0:0) 1 X 1 X 0.85 X 1.44
These matches are multiplied by 0.5359.565+413.1+898.875+127.5+127.5+329.375+127.5+196.35+196.35+252.525+252.525+181.75 + 127.5+ 127.5 + 127.5 + 127.5 + 127.5 + 452.625 + 408 + 408 + 452.625 + 122.4 = 5944.065/33 = 180.123*0.5 =
90.061 using the Caribbean cup qualifiers as 7362.44/33 = 223.104*0.5 =
111.552-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Canada3-Jul-2004 NASHVILLE (USA) USA vs. Canada 1:0 (0:0)
16-Jun-2004 (ONTARIO) (Canada) Belize vs. Canada 0:4 (0:1) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.5
13-Jun-2004 (ONTARIO) (Canada) Canada vs. Belize 4:0 (1:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.5
30-May-2004 WREXHAM (Wales) Wales vs. Canada 1:0 (1:0)
18-Jan-2004 (Barbados) Barbados vs. Canada 0:1 (0:1) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5 (0.89)
18-Nov-2003 DUBLIN (Republic of Ireland) Republic of Ireland vs. Canada 3:0 (1:0)
15-Nov-2003 TEPLICE (Czech Republic) Czech Republic vs. Canada 5:1 (1:0)
11-Oct-2003 TAMPERE (Finland) Finland vs. Canada 3:2 (3:0)
14-Jul-2003 FOXBORO/BOSTON (USA) Canada vs. Cuba 0:2 (0:1)
12-Jul-2003 FOXBORO (USA) Costa Rica vs. Canada 0:1 (0:0) 3 X 3 X 0.85 X 1.55 (1.82)
These points are multiplied by 0.3= 318.75 + 318.75 + 127.5 + 1185.75 = 1950.75/10 = 195.075*0.3 =
58.52(318.75 + 318.75 + 226.95 + 1392.3 = 2256.75/10 = 225.675*0.3 =
67.703)
TNT10-Jul-2004 BANGKOK (Thailand) Thailand vs. Trinidad and Tobago 3:2 (0:2)
20-Jun-2004 (Trinidad and Tobago) TNT vs. DR 4:0 (0:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.5
13-Jun-2004 (Dominican Republic) DR vs. TNT 0:2 (0:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.5
6-Jun-2004 PORT OF SPAIN (Trinidad and Tobago) TNT vs. Northern Ireland 0:3 (0:2)
30-May-2004 EDINBURGH (Scotland) Scotland vs. Trinidad and Tobago 4:1 (4:0)
23-May-2004 WEST BROMWICH (England) TNT vs. Iraq 2:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 1.12
31-Mar-2004 CAIRO (Egypt) Egypt vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:1 (0:0)
2-Mar-2004 (Trinidad and Tobago) TNT vs. Guyana 1:0 (1:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.69
12-Feb-2004 HAMILTON (Bermuda) Bermuda vs. TNT 2:2 (1:1) 1 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
10-Feb-2004 HAMILTON (Bermuda) Bermuda vs. TNT 0:1 (0:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
19-Nov-2003 (TNT) Trinidad and Tobago vs. Cuba 2:1 (2:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 1.02
10-Sep-2003 MARRAKECH (Morocco) Morocco vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:0 (1:0)
2-Aug-2003 (St. Kitts and Nevis) SKN vs. TNT 1:2 (0:2) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.64
31-Jul-2003 BASSETERRE (St. Kitts and Nevis) Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago 2:0 (0:0)
These matches are multiplied by 0.3=318.75 + 318.75 + 285.6+ 175.95 + 42.5+127.5 + 260.1 + 163.2 = 1692.35/14*0.3 =
36.26------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Canada1-Jun-2003 WOLFSBURG (Germany) Germany vs. Canada 4:1 (1:1)
29-Mar-2003 TALLINN (Estonia) Estonia vs. Canada 2:1 (0:0)
12-Feb-2003 TRIPOLIS (Libya) Libya vs. Canada 2:4 (1:2) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 1.21 (1.04)
18-Jan-2003 FORT LAUDERDALE (USA) USA vs. Canada 4:0 (3:0)
15-Oct-2002 EDINBURGH (Scotland) Scotland vs. Canada 3:1 (1:1)
These points are multiplied by 0.2= 308.55/5 = 61.71*0.2 =
12.342(=265.2/5 = 53.04*0.2 =
10.608)
TNT3-Jul-2003 (TNT) TNT vs. Venezuela 2:2 (0:1) 1 X 1 X 0.915 X 1.32
14-Jun-2003 PORT ELIZABETH (South Africa) South Africa vs. TNT 2:1 (1:1)
10-Jun-2003 (Botswana) Botswana vs. Trinidad and Tobago 0:0 1 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.96
31-May-2003 (Kenya) Kenya vs. Trinidad and Tobago 1:1 (1:1) 1 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.83
30-Apr-2003 SAN CRISTOBAL (Venezuela) Venezuela vs. Trinidad and Tobago 3:0 (2:0)
25-Apr-2003 FORT-DE-FRANCE (Martinique) Trinidad and Tobago vs. Honduras 0:2 (0:0)
23-Apr-2003 FORT-DE-FRANCE (Martinique) Martinique vs. Trinidad and Tobago 3:2 (0:2)
30-Mar-2003 (Trinidad and Tobago) Trinidad and Tobago vs. Cuba 1:3 (1:1)
28-Mar-2003 (TNT) Western Samoa vs. TNT 0:1 (0:0) 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.50
26-Mar-2003 (TNT) TNT vs. Antigua and Barbuda 2:0 3 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.54
29-Jan-2003 (TNT) TNT vs. Finland 1:2 (1:0)
17-Nov-2002 (TNT) St. Lucia vs. TNT 1:0 (0:0)
15-Nov-2002 (TNT) TNT vs. St. Kitts and Nevis 2:0 (1:0) 3 X 2.5 X 0.85 X 0.64 (GCQ)
28-Jul-2002 (St. Kitts and Nevis) St. Kitts and Nevis vs. TNT 2:1 (0:1)
27-Jul-2002 BASSETERRE (St. Kitts and Nevis) TNT vs. Chinese Taipei 0:1 (0:1)
25-Jul-2002 (St. Kitts and Nevis) TNT vs. Barbados 0:0 1 X 1 X 0.85 X 0.5
These matches are multiplied by 0.2120.78 + 81.6 + 70.55 + 127.5 + 137.7 + 408 + 42.5 = 988.63/16*0.2 =
12.357----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAN 12.342 + 58.52 + 89.65 + 295.8 = 456.312 BUT Can 567
Canada's revised rnakings using the opponents actual strength at the date of the match
(10.608 + 67.703 + 81.60 + 331.61 = 491.5)
TNT 12.357 + 36.26 + 90.061 + 308.03 = 446.708649 BUT TNT 487 (468.157 taking cc as gold cup qualis)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Obviously my calculations are always going to be in trouble since i don't check the ranking of each team at the moment each match was played. Nevertheless Trinidad's actual and calculated totals aren't that off. I have a huge disparity for Canada's though that I can't explain just that way. Anyone care to tackle it?
My question is if the old system needed overhauling so badly why are we still using the rankings from the system to calculate the new overhauled rankings
edit : Even using the actual coeffs of canada's opponents i'm still missing 70 odd points